Population aging and its effect on total health expenditure: a perspective of prospective age

【Author】

YANG Xin;ZUO Xuejin;WANG Meifeng

【Institution】

Institute of Urban & Population Development Studies, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences;Institute of Economics, Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences;Shanghai Health Development Research Center

【Abstract】

With the continuous extension of life expectancy, the negative impact of population aging may be exaggerated by using a static age perspective. In this paper, we try to forecast the population aging trend of China under different age criteria in 2010–2050 and analyze their effects on total health expenditure. The results show that aging rate measured with prospective age would be much lower than that measured with chronological age and the health expenditure for the elderly would be considerably reduced. The implications are that the ratio of labor force to the elderly population would change, which would reduce health expenditure. However, in achieving that, it is necessary to promote the relevant social policies such as encouraging the postponement of retirement age, changing the concept of health service, and reforming the health service system.

【Keywords】

population aging;chronological age;prospective age;total health expenditure

References

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Total: 35 articles

  • [1] Huang Chengli, The Effect of Population Aging on the Growth of Health Expenditure, Population Science of China,
  • [2] Du Peng is professor, Center for Population and Development Studies, Renmin University of China;Li Qiang is postdoc fellow, Max-Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany, Disability-free Life Expectancy of Chinese Elderly and its Change between 1994 and 2004, Population Research,
  • [3] Zhang Wenjuan Dr and Prof.Du Peng,Center for Population and Development Studies,Gerontology Institute of Renmin University, Regional Disparity in Changes of Healthy Life Expectancy of Chinese Elderly:Expansion or Compression?, Population Research,
  • [4] Guo Zhenwei is PhD in Economics,Department of Development Planning &Information,National Population &Family Planning Commission of China;Qi Xianfeng is Senior Economic Engineer,China Academy of Civil Aviation Science &Technology., An Alternative Measurement of Population Ageing, Population Research,

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